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octosport.ioinGeek CultureExpected Goals: Can They Predict Future Goals?Better than the team average goals6 min read·Apr 15, 2022--1--1
octosport.ioinGeek CultureQuantitative Betting With Python: How To Backtest a Value Bet StrategyUsing data to beat the bookmakers9 min read·Jan 3, 2022--1--1
octosport.ioinGeek CultureHow To Measure Football Prediction Model QualityThe league predictability index (LPI) at work6 min read·Dec 14, 2021----
octosport.ioinGeek CultureFootball Prediction Performance: How to Calculate Hit-ratio and Log-lossYou will never do it wrong5 min read·Nov 25, 2021--1--1
octosport.ioHow To Beat The Bookmakers During Euro 2020Using machine learning5 min read·Aug 11, 2021----
octosport.ioinGeek CultureLogistic Regression Without Probabilities TheoryIt’s a tweaked linear regression7 min read·Aug 5, 2021----
octosport.ioinGeek CultureWhy Beating The Bookmakers is Not a Prediction GameIt is about finding value6 min read·Jun 9, 2021----
octosport.ioinGeek CultureHow to Compute Football Implied Probabilities From Bookmakers OddsA comparative review10 min read·Mar 30, 2021----